Match Prediction is a small entertainment tool, which can only be used as a reference for the prediction results.
The main functions are ELO prediction, six-field integral prediction and goal rate prediction.
ELO Prediction:
1. This formula has the highest accuracy in predicting the Premier League, followed by Serie A, while the Bundesliga has little effect.
2. When the probability of winning is more than 50%, and the team has not won six consecutive wins or seven unbeaten games recently (this wonderful rule will be explained in a future blog), then it can choose to be brave. 3. When the likelihood of a draw is between 30% and 31%, the Premier League team must defend against a draw. Even a single Bo draw. When the probability of a draw is less than 30% or more than 31%, the possibility of a draw can be basically ruled out.
Six-game integral prediction: This prediction method was originally a simple prediction method provided by British newspapers to lottery fans. After improvement, the accuracy of the six-game prediction method has been improved continuously. The improved prediction method also has six principles
1. When the difference between the two teams in the last six games is more than 6, the team with the highest integral wins the last six games;
2. When the two teams in the match are the best. In the last six games, if the home team has a high score in the last six games, the home team will win; if the home team has a low score in the last six games, the home team will win or draw.
3. When the difference between the two teams in the last six games is 2-4, the team with a high score in the last six games will win.
4. When the difference between the two teams in the last six games is 1 or 0, the home team wins or draws.
Goal Rate Prediction: In 1990, David Jackson and K.r. Moschesky published their paper “Index Gambling in Competition” at the International Gambling Conference. For the first time, they proposed a mathematical model to predict a team’s next game performance based on the average goal rate per game. This method has the highest accuracy in predicting the results of the English Premier League and the Italian League A