Allocation 3M – Chu-Yi Chang

Allocation 3M combines three mathematical statistical models to help you analyze resource allocation issues in life, such as time allocation, manpower allocation, commodity allocation, etc. These models provide three allocation strategies based on the past data of allocation targets: high expected growth rate, low volatility and volatility parity. When you are facing resource allocation decisions, these strategies provide you with reference information on the data side.

Allocation 3M contains four tools:

Add Data:

Add the allocation target data you want to calculate.

For example, you can allocate your resources to VIP customers based on their monthly purchases. Resources can be service hours, membership gifts or membership points.
For example, you can allocate your study time based on the weekly test scores of online courses.

Mean Variance Model:

The mean variance model calculates the expected growth rate and volatility based on the past data of the allocation target. Use Monte Carlo method to find the allocation ratio with the highest expected growth rate under a given volatility or the allocation ratio with the lowest volatility under a given expected growth rate.

For example, you plan to meet with 10 VIP customers next week for product sales, and you want to allocate resources based on the past purchase records of these 10 customers. You can use this model to calculate the expected purchase growth rate, volatility, and resource allocation ratio for these 10 customers this month. You need to put in a lot of effort to successfully sell. The model is purely based on data, and it reminds you to allocate more resources to customers with the highest expected purchase growth rate under a given volatility.

Black–Litterman Model:

The Black-Litterman model combines the mean variance model, Bayesian estimation method, and users’ views on the expected growth rate to calculate the resource allocation ratio. If you have your own views on the future expected growth rate, you can use the Black-Litterman model to calculate the allocation ratio with the highest expected growth rate under a given volatility or the allocation ratio with the lowest volatility under a given expected growth rate.

For example, you plan to meet with 10 VIP customers next week for product sales, and you want to allocate resources based on the past purchase records of these 10 customers. This model calculates the expected growth rate of each customer based on the customer’s past purchase records. This expected growth rate is one of the factors for calculating the allocation ratio. If you have your own views on the expected growth rate of customers in the future, you can adjust the expected growth rate of the model to calculate the expected purchase growth rate, volatility and resource allocation ratio of these 10 customers this month.

Risk Parity Model:

Unlike the mean variance model and the Black-Litterman model, which are designed to optimize expected growth rates, the risk parity model is designed to optimize volatility. The risk parity model uses Newton’s method to calculate an approximate resource allocation ratio so that the volatility contribution of each data to the data combination is consistent.

For example, you plan to meet with 10 VIP customers next week for product sales, and you want to allocate resources based on the past purchase records of these 10 customers. This model calculates the purchase volatility of each customer based on the customer’s past purchase records, and calculates the expected purchase growth rate, volatility and resource allocation ratio of these 10 customers this month under the premise that each customer has the same volatility contribution . You can use this model to avoid allocating most of the resources to a few customers, but to allocate resources to more customers to improve sales stability.

Un-Secret – salon salon

Un-Secret(アンシークレット)の公式アプリです。

【概要】
■アプリ上から24時間いつでも予約が可能
指名予約にも対応しているので担当スタッフのスケジュールを確認してからの予約が可能です。
■クーポン
お得なクーポンが配信されます。ネット予約時にクーポン利用での予約も可能なので来店時もスムーズに施術頂けます。
■スタッフが施術したギャラリーを掲載
前もって画像を確認しておけばスムーズなオーダーが可能です。
■マイページ機能
予約状況の確認やキャンセルがマイページ上から行えます。スタッフの登録が出来るので前もって担当者を登録しておけばマイページからスムーズな指名予約が可能です。

Borderline Personality D. Test – Inquiry Health LLC

Borderline personality disorder is a mental health condition characterized by difficulty managing emotions and behavior, a pattern of unstable relationships, and self-image issues. Individuals with borderline personality disorder often engage in self-harm and deal with feelings of emptiness, fear of abandonment, and depersonalization.

Borderline Personality Disorder is commonly associated with other mental health conditions such as depression, eating disorders, and substance abuse.

BPD can typically be treated with evidence-based psychotherapy such as Dialectical Behavior Therapy (DBT).

This test uses the Maclean Screening Instrument for BPD – a series of 10 yes or no questions corresponding to different symptoms for Borderline Personality Disorder.

Disclaimer: This test is NOT a diagnostic test. A diagnosis can only be provided by a qualified healthcare professional. Please consult a physician or mental health professional if you are concerned about Borderline Personality Disorder.

Zanarini, M. C., Vujanovic, A. A., Parachini, E. A., Boulanger, J. L., Frankenburg, F. R., & Hennen, J. (2003). A screening measure for BPD: The McLean screening instrument for borderline personality disorder (MSI-BPD). Journal of personality disorders, 17(6), 568-573.

Delivery By Local Courier – Tunde Hammed

You can make some extra income just by delivering the orders to the customers.
We have developed the premier grocery delivery service, and you can access it directly from your smartphone! We have already helped drivers just like you make extra income, and you too can be a part of this amazing platform.

How it Works

As a delivery driver, you are the boss! Sign up with our app, set your own hours, and earn extra income. As soon as you sign up with us, you will start getting regular notifications whenever an order is available in your area. You can either accept or reject it at your own discretion. If you choose to accept a request, you can pick up the order from the store, and deliver it to the customer.
As soon as you pick up the order, the customers will be able to track the delivery.

Benefits of Our Courier App:
– Feel free to set your own hours – work at a time that suits your schedule.
– Get notifications when a delivery is available in your area; accept the order and start your delivery.
– Track your earnings right from the app
– Complete peace of mind knowing that you will be paid every time.

You never have to work during odd hours. Select a time that suits your needs, and start making extra income. To safely and conveniently deliver the orders, log on to our app, today!

Fischerprüfung BW 2020 – Fabian Englbrecht

Diese App bereitet Dich auf die Fischerprüfung 2020 in Baden-Württemberg vor.
Die App behinhaltet alle Prüfungs- und Bildfragen aus dem offiziellen Fragenkatalog des LFVBW für das Prüfungsjahr 2020.

Deine App-features:
– Effiziente Vorbereitung durch Lernkarten-System
– Statistiken zu Testprüfungen und Fragen
– Alle Prüfungsfragen des LFVBW 2020
– Alle Bildfragen des LFVBW 2020

Info: Diese App benötigt eine Internetverbindung!

HiveManager – Scott McKenzie

Collect property and apiary details
Filter apiaries based on actionable criteria
Plot filtered apiaries on map to plan activities
Map most efficient travel to apiaries
Reference property access and hazard data on/off-line
Capture apiary data and quickly share with team

ABC Flashcards PRO – Ta Chang Song

Requires iOS 10.0 or later. Compatible with iPhone 5S, iPhone 6, iPhone 6 Plus, iPhone 6S, iPhone 6S Plus, iPhone SE (1st generation), iPhone 7, iPhone 7 Plus, iPhone 8, iPhone 8 Plus, iPhone X, iPhone XS, iPhone XS Max, iPhone XR, iPhone 11, iPhone 11 Pro, iPhone 11 Pro Max, iPhone SE (2nd generation), iPad Air, iPad Air Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad mini 2, iPad mini 2 Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Air 2, iPad Air 2 Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad mini 3, iPad mini 3 Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad mini 4, iPad mini 4 Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (12.9‑inch), iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) Wi-Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (9.7‑inch), iPad Pro (9.7‑inch) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad (5th generation), iPad (5th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) (2nd generation), iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) (2nd generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (10.5‑inch), iPad Pro (10.5‑inch) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad (6th generation), iPad (6th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (11‑inch), iPad Pro (11‑inch) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) (3rd generation), iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) (3rd generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad mini (5th generation), iPad mini (5th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Air (3rd generation), iPad Air (3rd generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad (7th generation), iPad (7th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (11‑inch) (2nd generation), iPad Pro (11‑inch) (2nd generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) (4th generation), iPad Pro (12.9‑inch) (4th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad Air (4th generation), iPad Air (4th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, iPad (8th generation), iPad (8th generation) Wi‑Fi + Cellular, and iPod touch.

By Motos – Clube de Benefícios – By Motos – Clube de Benefícios

O Aplicativo da By Motos oferece diversas funcionalidades desenvolvidas especialmente para facilitar a vida do Associado.
O aplicativo permite que o Associado faça diversas solicitações e serviços instantâneos, como:

Indicar um amigo;
Solicitar uma cotação;
Conheça a By Motos;
Ficar por dentro dos descontos e benefícios;
Receber notícias de última hora;
Encontrar a base mais próxima;

Emitir 2ª via de boleto;
Conhecer e avaliar as oficinas credenciadas;
Acionar assistência 24h;
Comunicar FURTO/ROUBO.

Para começar a usar o aplicativo é só fazer o download gratuito, utilizar seu CPF e senha fornecida pela By Motos.

Você já está pronto para aproveitar essas e outras vantagens.
Sinta-se a vontade em tirar dúvidas ou sugerir melhorias em nosso aplicativo.